The lesson: Sample Space
Sample-space diagrams
In this section
- List possible outcomes.
- Use sample-space diagrams for combined events.
- Calculate probabilities from sample spaces.
A sample space is the list of all possible outcomes, and writing it out turns a probability question into counting.
For two dice, a two-way table with the first die down the side and the second along the top gives all 36 outcomes. Each cell can hold the total, and then counting the cells with a given total answers the question directly: seven appears six times, so P(7) = 6/36 = 1/6.
The table also makes visible what a list does not: the outcomes are equally likely as cells, but the totals are not equally likely as totals. That is why 7 is more likely than 2, and why guessing from the list of possible totals gives the wrong answer.
For two coins the sample space is HH, HT, TH, TT — four outcomes, not three. Treating HT and TH as one outcome is a classic error, and writing them out separately prevents it.
Key points
- Write out or tabulate every outcome; then it is just counting.
- For two dice there are 36 equally likely cells, but the totals are not equally likely.
- HT and TH are different outcomes.